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Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academia Puerto Cabello play Portuguesa in the Liga FUTVE. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academia Puerto Cabello averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Portuguesa averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Academia Puerto Cabello won 3, Portuguesa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.44 for Portuguesa. This points to a Academia Puerto Cabello double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Academia Puerto Cabello
18%
Draws
35%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Academia Puerto Cabello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 16%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Puerto Cabello Portuguesa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
May 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Canete J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Puerto Cabello 46 / 100
Portuguesa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Puerto Cabello Portuguesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academia Puerto Cabello or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academia Puerto Cabello attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia Puerto Cabello scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Portuguesa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Academia Puerto Cabello went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academia Puerto Cabello63128:710
2Portuguesa62227:88
3Deportivo La Guaira61415:57
4Universidad Central61328:86
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Carabobo632110:511
2Dep. Tachira63218:511
3Metropolitanos62225:78
4Estudiantes Merida61052:83