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Academia Puerto Cabello vs Universidad Central

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academia Puerto Cabello play Universidad Central in the Liga FUTVE. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academia Puerto Cabello averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Universidad Central averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Academia Puerto Cabello won 3, Universidad Central won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.19 for Universidad Central. This points to a Academia Puerto Cabello double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Academia Puerto Cabello
24%
Draws
35%
Universidad Central
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Academia Puerto Cabello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello picked up more points recently compared to Universidad Central.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 20%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Puerto Cabello Universidad Central
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Universidad Central
2:1
May 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Academia Puerto Cabello
3:1
Mar 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Universidad Central
3:0
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Universidad Central vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Universidad Central
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Saggiomo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bortagaray G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Universidad Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Puerto Cabello 41 / 100
Universidad Central 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Puerto Cabello Universidad Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academia Puerto Cabello or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academia Puerto Cabello attacking → ← attacking Universidad Central

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia Puerto Cabello scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Universidad Central let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Academia Puerto Cabello went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Universidad Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 46
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academia Puerto Cabello63128:710
2Portuguesa62227:88
3Deportivo La Guaira61415:57
4Universidad Central61328:86
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Carabobo632110:511
2Dep. Tachira63218:511
3Metropolitanos62225:78
4Estudiantes Merida61052:83