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Academia vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Academia Logo

Academia

1 - 0
FT
Cuiaba Logo

Cuiaba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Academia in this Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
30%
Draws
70%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Academia.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Cuiaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cuiaba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Academia Clean Sheet 20%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Cuiaba
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 16
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Cuiaba
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Academia vs Cuiaba
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Matogrossense
Academia vs Cuiaba
0:2
Jan 29, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Cuiaba
0:3
Feb 9, 2022 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Academia
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 10 / 100
Cuiaba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Academia scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cuiaba
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

Cuiaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Operario-PR
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
09 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Fortaleza
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)