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Academia vs Operario VG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Mateus Henrique
21'
Cauan
25' Event
da Silva Ramos M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
15%
Draws
85%
Operario VG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario VG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario VG lately — more wins on the board than Academia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Academia Clean Sheet 20%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Operario VG
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Operario VG
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Operario VG vs Academia
4:0
Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Academia
1:0
Mar 16, 2023 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Academia
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Operario VG
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Compare

Top Goalscorer Anselmo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Operario VG Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Ramos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 32 / 100
Operario VG 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Operario VG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario VG let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Operario VG registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Academia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario VG
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
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Operario VG

(Away)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)