Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academia vs Primavera AC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Anselmo L.
46'
Sub
Filder J. In: Ricardo Liell
Out: Filder J.
46'
Sub
Vinicius Leonel In: Pedro Liko
Out: Vinicius Leonel

AI Match Summary

Primavera AC in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primavera AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academia
15%
Draws
85%
Primavera AC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primavera AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primavera AC lately — more wins on the board than Academia.
  • Primavera AC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Primavera AC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Academia Clean Sheet 22%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Primavera AC
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 14
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Primavera AC
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Academia vs Primavera AC
4:2
Jan 27, 2024 Matogrossense
Academia vs Primavera AC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Primavera AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sampson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia 16 / 100
Primavera AC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Primavera AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Primavera AC conceded in 71% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Academia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Primavera AC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera AC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia

(Home)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
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Primavera AC

(Away)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)