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Academica do Fogo vs Juventude

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Andrade G.
28' Event
Rodrigues M.
45' Event
Varela A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Academica do Fogo and Juventude finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica do Fogo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica do Fogo
6%
Draws
4%
Juventude
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica do Fogo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Academica do Fogo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 20%
Juventude Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Fogo Juventude
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 8 2
Draws 14 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Juventude vs Academica do Fogo
0:0
May 4, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs Juventude
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica do Fogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Fogo 85 / 100
Juventude 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Fogo Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Academica do Fogo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Juventude has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Academica do Fogo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Fogo VS Juventude
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Fogo

(Home)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Academica do Fogo
18 May
Academica do Fogo
2 : 3
Academico do Sal
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 6

Juventude

(Away)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
08 Jun
Academico do Sal
0 : 2
Juventude
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
11 May
Juventude
3 : 3
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams