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Academica do Fogo vs SC Atletico

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2012
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Academica do Fogo host SC Atletico in the Campeonato Nacional 2012. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Academica do Fogo at 0.13 goals for, 0.25 against; SC Atletico at 0.67 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor SC Atletico slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2014, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.90 - 0.46) back SC Atletico to edge this. SC Atletico in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica do Fogo
6%
Draws
4%
SC Atletico
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Atletico has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Academica do Fogo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Academica do Fogo.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Nacional 2012 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 20%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Fogo SC Atletico
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato Nacional
SC Atletico vs Academica do Fogo
1:1
Jun 17, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
SC Atletico vs Academica do Fogo
2:1
Jun 10, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs SC Atletico
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Fogo 85 / 100
SC Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Fogo SC Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica do Fogo scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

SC Atletico let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Academica do Fogo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Atletico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Fogo VS SC Atletico
0.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
13% Over 1.5 83%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sporting Praia6
Academica Porto Novo0
SC Atletico4
Academica do Fogo2
Final
Sporting Praia1
SC Atletico1