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Academica do Mindelo vs Figueirense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Academica do Mindelo and Figueirense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica do Mindelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Academica do Mindelo
30%
Draws
23%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academica do Mindelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica do Mindelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Academica do Mindelo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Mindelo Figueirense
Matches Played 24 6
Wins 13 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Figueirense vs Academica do Mindelo
1:4
Apr 30, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Figueirense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Mindelo 85 / 100
Figueirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Mindelo Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica do Mindelo scored in 96% of their last 24 outings.

Figueirense let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Academica do Mindelo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Mindelo VS Figueirense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Mindelo

(Home)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

Figueirense

(Away)
11 Jun
GD Varandinha
2 : 4
Figueirense
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
21 May
Figueirense
0 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Morabeza
1 : 0
Figueirense
30 Apr
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams