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Academica do Mindelo vs Sporting da Brava

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2017 game between Academica do Mindelo and Sporting da Brava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica do Mindelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Academica do Mindelo
35%
Draws
32%
Sporting da Brava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica do Mindelo come out ahead of Sporting da Brava on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Academica do Mindelo taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Mindelo Sporting da Brava
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Sporting da Brava
2:1
May 20, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs Academica do Mindelo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Mindelo 76 / 100
Sporting da Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Mindelo Sporting da Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica do Mindelo found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (24 games).

Sporting da Brava has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Academica do Mindelo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica do Mindelo VS Sporting da Brava
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Mindelo

(Home)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

Sporting da Brava

(Away)
12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0
Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2
Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2
Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams