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Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Praia

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Academica Porto Novo and Academica Praia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Porto Novo
6%
Draws
4%
Academica Praia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Praia come out ahead of Academica Porto Novo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Academica Porto Novo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Porto Novo Academica Praia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Praia
2:1
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
1:1
May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
2:1
Apr 14, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academica Praia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 85 / 100
Academica Praia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Porto Novo Academica Praia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica Porto Novo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Academica Porto Novo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Academica Praia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS Academica Praia
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Porto Novo

(Home)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
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Academica Praia

(Away)
24 May
Mindelense
5 : 2
Academica Praia
17 May
Academica Praia
0 : 1
Palmeira
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense63218:411
2Academica Praia62224:48
3Academica Porto Novo61417:97
4Academica do Fogo60423:54
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ultramarina632113:911
2Santo Crucifixo62227:58
3Sporting da Brava62229:128
4Academico 8361238:115
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oasis63217:811
2Onze Estrelas63125:410
3Celtic62316:19
4GD Varandinha60244:92
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams