Sport Picks
Libertad Asuncion vs Recoleta
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa de Primera. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Libertad Asuncion at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Recoleta at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Libertad Asuncion have won 1 to Recoleta's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Recoleta. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Recoleta at 1.5 per game, Libertad Asuncion at 1.38.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Recoleta taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad Asuncion | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Libertad Asuncion scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Libertad Asuncion remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad Asuncion
(Home)Recoleta
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sp. Luqueno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Sportivo Ameliano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 6 | Nacional Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
