Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017

Academica Porto Novo

3 - 0

Paulense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Academica Porto Novo in this Campeonato Nacional 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Academica Porto Novo

39%

Draws

31%

Paulense

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Academica Porto Novo have won more games recently than Paulense.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 19%

Paulense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Academica Porto Novo	Paulense
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	14	11
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2017 Campeonato Nacional

Academica Porto Novo vs Paulense

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

May 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional

Paulense vs Academica Porto Novo

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

May 23, 2015 Campeonato Nacional

Paulense vs Academica Porto Novo

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Apr 26, 2014 Campeonato Nacional

Paulense vs Academica Porto Novo

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

May 19, 2012 Campeonato Nacional

Paulense vs Academica Porto Novo

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 31 / 100

Paulense 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Academica Porto Novo Paulense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Porto Novo scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Paulense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Academica Porto Novo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS Paulense

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ultramarina	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Onze Unidos	6	3	2	1	9:6	11
3	AJAC da Calheta	6	1	2	3	7:11	5
4	Vulcanico	6	1	1	4	7:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	6	4	1	1	8:3	13
2	Academica Porto Novo	6	3	2	1	12:7	11
3	Academico do Sal	6	1	2	3	6:10	5
4	Paulense	6	0	3	3	4:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Praia	6	4	2	0	8:1	14
2	Academica do Mindelo	6	3	1	2	7:5	10
3	Sporting da Brava	6	3	1	2	6:5	10
4	Sport Sal-Rei	6	0	0	6	1:11	0