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Academica Porto Novo vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Porto Novo in this Campeonato Nacional 2011 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Porto Novo
6%
Draws
4%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rosariense haven't matched Academica Porto Novo's recent run of results.
  • Academica Porto Novo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 20%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Porto Novo Rosariense
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Rosariense
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 85 / 100
Rosariense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Porto Novo Rosariense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Porto Novo found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Rosariense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Solid form: Academica Porto Novo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS Rosariense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense541013:113
2Sporting Praia54017:212
3CD Benfica52215:48
4Vulcanico41123:94
5Ultramarina51046:113
6Sport Sal-Rei40041:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Porto Novo422011:48
2Academico do Sal42208:58
3Boavista42119:47
4Onze Unidos41034:93
5Rosariense40134:141