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Academica Porto Novo vs Sporting Praia

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Praia in this Campeonato Nacional 2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Academica Porto Novo
17%
Draws
13%
Sporting Praia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Praia have won more games recently than Academica Porto Novo.
  • Model gives Academica Porto Novo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Porto Novo Sporting Praia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
1:0
Jun 24, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Sporting Praia
1:1
Apr 6, 2014 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Sporting Praia
0:0
May 11, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
0:0
Jun 17, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Porto Novo 66 / 100
Sporting Praia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Porto Novo Sporting Praia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Porto Novo found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Academica Porto Novo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Praia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Academica Porto Novo VS Sporting Praia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mindelense2
Academico do Sal2
Academica Porto Novo2
Sporting Praia5
Final
Mindelense1
Sporting Praia0