Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica Praia vs Foguetoes

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Praia in this Campeonato Nacional 2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Academica Praia
30%
Draws
34%
Foguetoes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academica Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica Praia have won more games recently than Foguetoes.
  • Academica Praia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Academica Praia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Academica Praia, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Academica Praia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Foguetoes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Praia Foguetoes
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.75 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Foguetoes
1:0
May 20, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:0
May 17, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Praia 36 / 100
Foguetoes 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Praia Foguetoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Praia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Foguetoes has conceded goals in 69% of their last 13 outings.

Recent resilience: Academica Praia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Academica Praia VS Foguetoes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
38% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Praia

(Home)
24 May
Mindelense
5 : 2
Academica Praia
17 May
Academica Praia
0 : 1
Palmeira
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
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Foguetoes

(Away)
27 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Foguetoes
20 May
Foguetoes
0 : 0
Academica Praia
12 May
Scorpion Vermelho
2 : 0
Foguetoes
05 May
Foguetoes
2 : 1
Morabeza
28 Apr
Belo Horizonte
0 : 0
Foguetoes
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Academica Praia1
Foguetoes0
Palmeira1
Mindelense3
Final
Academica Praia2
Mindelense0