Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009

SC do Porto Novo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Academica Praia play SC do Porto Novo in the Campeonato Nacional 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica Praia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. SC do Porto Novo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Academica Praia won 1, SC do Porto Novo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2009 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Academica Praia and 0.75 for SC do Porto Novo. This points to a Academica Praia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Academica Praia

32%

Draws

30%

SC do Porto Novo

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Academica Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Academica Praia picked up more points recently compared to SC do Porto Novo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Academica Praia Clean Sheet 27%

SC do Porto Novo Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Academica Praia	SC do Porto Novo
Matches Played	30	7
Wins	14	3
Draws	10	1
Losses	6	3
Goals Scored	1.13	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2009 Campeonato Nacional

Academica Praia vs SC do Porto Novo

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Jun 20, 2009 Campeonato Nacional

SC do Porto Novo vs Academica Praia

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Praia 40 / 100

SC do Porto Novo 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Academica Praia SC do Porto Novo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica Praia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica Praia attacking → ← attacking SC do Porto Novo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Praia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SC do Porto Novo let in goals in 43% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Academica Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC do Porto Novo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 10

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00