Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica SC vs El Farolito

USA USA

US Open Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Garduno M.
Assist: Cardona E.
35' Event
Fredes L.
Assist: Montes C.
54'
Mazzolatti W.

AI Match Summary

El Farolito in this US Open Cup 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Farolito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Academica SC
40%
Draws
29%
El Farolito
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica SC have won more games recently than El Farolito.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup games in US Open Cup 2019 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Academica SC Clean Sheet 16%
El Farolito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica SC El Farolito
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2019 US Open Cup
Academica SC vs El Farolito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmoa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

El Farolito Compare

Top Goalscorer Garduno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fredes L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica SC 31 / 100
El Farolito 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica SC El Farolito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Farolito conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.

Academica SC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Academica SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica SC VS El Farolito
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Orlando City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hartford Athletic-
TBD-
Black Rock1
New York Cosmos 22
New York Red Bulls U235
Motown4
TBD-
Memphis 901-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New England Revolution-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
North Carolina FC-
TBD-
Virginia Utd2
Richmond Kickers6
Charlotte Independence-
TBD-
Miami FC1
Florida Soccer Soldiers2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Indy Eleven-
TBD-
Ann Arbor1
Lansing Ignite2
Dayton2
Erie Commodores1
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds-
Charleston-
TBD-
South Georgia Tormenta0
Greenville Triumph1
South Georgia Tormenta II3
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
TBD-
Nashville SC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
St. Louis FC-
TBD-
Duluth FC1
Menace2
El Paso Locomotive-
TBD-
Bavarian United SC0
Forward Madison2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
Louisville City-
TBD-
Philadelphia Lone Star1
Reading2
West Chester United2
FC Baltimore1
TBD-
Birmingham Legion-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Antonio FC-
TBD-
Twin City Toucans0
Laredo Heat1
FC Tulsa-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin Bold-
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tampa Bay-
TBD-
Lakeland Tropics1
Brave SC2
NTX Rayados3
Little Rock Rangers2
TBD-
Oklahoma City Energy FC-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Springs-
TBD-
Midland Sockers1
FC Denver2
Phoenix Rising-
TBD-
TBD-
New Mexico-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
Sacramento Republic-
TBD-
TBD-
Reno 1868-
El Farolito2
Academica SC1
TBD-
Monterey Bay-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
Portland Timbers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
Orange County FC2
Golden State Force0
TBD-
Orange County SC-
Cal5
FC Mulhouse Portland1
TBD-
Las Vegas Lights-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy-
1/64-finals
Orlando City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hartford Athletic2
New York Cosmos 21
New York Red Bulls U231
Memphis 9013
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New England Revolution-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
North Carolina FC4
Richmond Kickers1
Charlotte Independence2
Florida Soccer Soldiers3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Indy Eleven1
Lansing Ignite0
Dayton0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds3
Charleston2
Greenville Triumph1
South Georgia Tormenta II2
Nashville SC3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
St. Louis FC2
Menace1
El Paso Locomotive0
Forward Madison3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
Louisville City3
Reading0
West Chester United1
Birmingham Legion4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Antonio FC2
Laredo Heat0
FC Tulsa0
Austin Bold2
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tampa Bay4
Brave SC1
NTX Rayados1
Oklahoma City Energy FC3
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Springs1
FC Denver0
Phoenix Rising2
New Mexico3
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
Sacramento Republic1
Reno 18680
El Farolito0
Monterey Bay1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
Portland Timbers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
Orange County FC3
Orange County SC2
Cal0
Las Vegas Lights2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy-
1/32-finals
Orlando City-
TBD-
Hartford Athletic0
Memphis 9014
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
New England Revolution-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
North Carolina FC1
Florida Soccer Soldiers0
TBD-
New York City-
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
Indy Eleven0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Charleston2
Nashville SC1
TBD-
Atlanta United-
St. Louis FC3
Forward Madison1
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
Louisville City1
Birmingham Legion0
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
San Antonio FC2
Austin Bold4
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
Tampa Bay3
Oklahoma City Energy FC4
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
Colorado Springs1
New Mexico2
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Salt Lake-
Sacramento Republic1
Monterey Bay0
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
Portland Timbers-
TBD-
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
Orange County FC5
Las Vegas Lights3
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy-
1/16-finals
Orlando City3
Memphis 9011
New York Red Bulls2
New England Revolution3
DC United2
Philadelphia Union1
North Carolina FC0
New York City4
Columbus Crew1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0
Charleston1
Atlanta United3
St. Louis FC2
Chicago Fire1
Louisville City1
FC Cincinnati2
Houston Dynamo3
Austin Bold2
Sporting Kansas City1
Minnesota United4
FC Dallas4
Oklahoma City Energy FC0
Colorado Rapids2
New Mexico3
Los Angeles FC3
Real Salt Lake0
Sacramento Republic3
San Jose Earthquakes4
Portland Timbers2
Seattle Sounders1
Orange County FC0
Los Angeles Galaxy3
1/8-finals
Orlando City2
New England Revolution1
DC United1
New York City2
Columbus Crew2
Atlanta United3
St. Louis FC1
FC Cincinnati0
Houston Dynamo2
Minnesota United3
FC Dallas1
New Mexico2
Los Angeles FC3
San Jose Earthquakes1
Portland Timbers4
Los Angeles Galaxy0
Quarter-finals
Orlando City2
New York City1
Atlanta United2
St. Louis FC0
Minnesota United6
New Mexico1
Los Angeles FC0
Portland Timbers1
Semi-finals
Orlando City0
Atlanta United2
Minnesota United2
Portland Timbers1
Final
Atlanta United2
Minnesota United1