Sport Picks

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Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Setubal U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Setubal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Academica U19
30%
Draws
6%
Vitoria Setubal U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Academica U19 have won more games recently than Vitoria Setubal U19.
  • Academica U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Academica U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Setubal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica U19 Vitoria Setubal U19
Matches Played 36 37
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
2:2
Dec 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
5:1
Apr 15, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica U19 85 / 100
Vitoria Setubal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica U19 Vitoria Setubal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Setubal U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Academica U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Academica U19's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Academica U19 VS Vitoria Setubal U19
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica U19

(Home)
25 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Alverca U19
18 May
Torreense U19
0 : 0
Academica U19
11 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
04 May
Belenenses U19
1 : 1
Academica U19
28 Apr
Academica U19
1 : 0
SC Lusitania U19
Page 1 of 8

Vitoria Setubal U19

(Away)
25 May
Belenenses U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
19 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 3
SC Lusitania U19
11 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
04 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
0 : 3
Beira Mar U19
27 Apr
Alverca U19
3 : 0
Vitoria Setubal U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)