Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Tavares I.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Mutombo J.
90' Event
Pavlic I.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 in this Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Academica U23
28%
Draws
22%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academica U23 have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes U23.
  • Academica U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Academica U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica U23 Vitoria Guimaraes U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
4:1
Jan 22, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
1:2
Oct 29, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1:2
Aug 19, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
4:1
Mar 15, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutombo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica U23 47 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica U23 Vitoria Guimaraes U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Academica U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica U23 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Braga U231292124:629
2Rio Ave U231263313:1321
3Leixoes U231253414:1418
4Vizela U231252516:1917
5Famalicao U231252515:1517
6Vitoria Guimaraes U231232716:2011
7Academica U231212912:235
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U231292127:829
2Estoril U231282223:1426
3Portimonense U231253416:2118
4Maritimo U231243523:2115
5Sporting CP U231242614:2014
6BSAD U231232718:3111
7SC Farense U231212914:205