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Stadium Background

Academica vs Sao Salvador

Angola Angola

Girabola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica play Sao Salvador in the Girabola. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sao Salvador averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Academica won 2, Sao Salvador won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Academica and 0.94 for Sao Salvador. This points to a Academica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Academica
28%
Draws
35%
Sao Salvador
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica picked up more points recently compared to Sao Salvador.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Academica Clean Sheet 24%
Sao Salvador Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Sao Salvador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Girabola
Sao Salvador vs Academica
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Girabola
Academica vs Sao Salvador
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Girabola
Academica vs Sao Salvador
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Girabola
Sao Salvador vs Academica
3:0
Jun 1, 2024 Girabola
Academica vs Sao Salvador
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 38 / 100
Sao Salvador 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Sao Salvador

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica attacking → ← attacking Sao Salvador

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sao Salvador let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Academica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Salvador lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021