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Academica vs Sporting de Cabinda

Angola Angola

Girabola 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nzembe M.
45' Event
Isola L.
67' Event
Toti

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2023/2024 game between Academica and Sporting de Cabinda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academica
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting de Cabinda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting de Cabinda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting de Cabinda haven't matched Academica's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Academica Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting de Cabinda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Sporting de Cabinda
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2024 Girabola
Academica vs Sporting de Cabinda
2:1
Mar 20, 2024 Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda vs Academica
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda vs Academica
1:0
Nov 24, 2022 Girabola
Academica vs Sporting de Cabinda
3:0
Mar 19, 2022 Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda vs Academica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzembe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isola L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sporting de Cabinda Compare

Top Goalscorer Toti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 36 / 100
Sporting de Cabinda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Sporting de Cabinda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting de Cabinda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting de Cabinda conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sporting de Cabinda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Academica found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Academica VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
20 Sept
Desportivo Huila
1 : 0
Academica
10 Sept
Interclube
2 : 0
Academica
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
23 Aug
Wiliete
2 : 0
Academica
Page 1 of 8

Sporting de Cabinda

(Away)
29 May
Academica
2 : 1
Sporting de Cabinda
25 May
Sporting de Cabinda
1 : 2
Interclube
18 May
C.R.D. Libolo
4 : 2
Sporting de Cabinda
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
2 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
Sporting de Cabinda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 28 20 7 1 58:11 67
2 Sagrada 28 18 7 3 45:15 61
3 CD Lunda Sul 28 13 11 4 35:19 50
4 Kabuscorp 28 12 8 8 36:27 44
5 Wiliete 28 10 11 7 31:24 41
6 Desportivo Huila 28 11 8 9 24:25 41
7 Primeiro de Agosto 28 8 14 6 32:24 38
8 Bravos do Maquis 28 11 4 13 29:28 37
9 Interclube 28 9 8 11 25:29 35
10 Academica 28 7 11 10 16:26 32
11 Sao Salvador 28 7 10 11 23:34 31
12 Santa Rita 28 7 5 16 22:40 26
13 C.R.D. Libolo 28 6 7 15 19:32 25
14 Uniao de Malanje 28 5 6 17 21:46 21
15 Sporting de Cabinda 28 5 5 18 27:63 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)