Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1975/1976 game between Academica and Tomar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Academica
15%
Draws
28%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica come out ahead of Tomar on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Academica taking it.
  • Regular Primeira Liga 1975/1976 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Academica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica Clean Sheet 19%
Tomar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Tomar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.45 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 1976 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Tomar
2:1
Sep 21, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Academica
2:1
Mar 16, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Academica
1:4
Nov 24, 1974 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Tomar
3:1
May 14, 1972 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Tomar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 67 / 100
Tomar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Academica's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tomar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
14 Aug
Academica
1 : 0
Feirense
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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