Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wlk A.
Assist: Salvio E.
45'
Pena Biafore F.
46'
Sub
Alonso A. In: Gonzalez T.
Out: Alonso A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Deportivo Riestra and Lanus finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Deportivo Riestra
35%
Draws
50%
Lanus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lanus a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 17%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra Lanus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
0:3
May 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra
0:0
Jul 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra
0:2
Aug 9, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pena Biafore F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 28 / 100
Lanus 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Riestra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deportivo Riestra found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Lanus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS Lanus
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Riestra

(Home)
05 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 6

Lanus

(Away)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
3 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
4 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
4 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
5 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
6 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 11 2 2 7 12:17 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)