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Academica Vitoria vs Carpina SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro, Vitoria de Santo Antao
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Academica Vitoria and Carpina SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Academica Vitoria
15%
Draws
68%
Carpina SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carpina SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Carpina SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Carpina SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Carpina SC
Matches Played 45 28
Wins 24 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Carpina SC
1:0
Aug 15, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Carpina SC vs Academica Vitoria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 10 / 100
Carpina SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Carpina SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpina SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Carpina SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Vitoria

(Home)
31 Jan
Academica Vitoria
2 : 3
Nautico
28 Jan
Decisao
0 : 4
Academica Vitoria
24 Jan
Sport Recife
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria
21 Jan
Academica Vitoria
0 : 2
Maguary
17 Jan
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
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Carpina SC

(Away)
10 Oct
Carpina SC
2 : 3
Timbauba FC
03 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Carpina SC
26 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 3
Carpina SC
23 Sept
Carpina SC
3 : 2
Jaguar
19 Sept
Sete de Setembro (PE)
0 : 2
Carpina SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)