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Academica Vitoria vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Paulinho Cearense
78' Event
Erverson

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2024 game between Academica Vitoria and Vera Cruz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Academica Vitoria
28%
Draws
22%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vera Cruz.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Academica Vitoria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pernambucano 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Vera Cruz
Matches Played 42 36
Wins 21 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Academica Vitoria
3:2
Nov 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Vera Cruz
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Vera Cruz
1:0
Mar 8, 2021 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Vera Cruz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Cearense
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erverson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vera Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 49 / 100
Vera Cruz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Vera Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria scored in 74% of their last 42 games.

Vera Cruz let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vera Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS Vera Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria971118:722
2Decisao962119:720
3Ipojuca953113:518
4Jaguar952219:617
5Ypiranga93339:612
6Cabense932413:1111
7Vera Cruz92348:109
8Centro Limoeirense92349:189
9Ibis Sport Club91359:146
10Atletico PE90092:350