Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019

Santo Crucifixo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Academico 83 play Santo Crucifixo in the Campeonato Nacional 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academico 83 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Santo Crucifixo averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Academico 83 won 0, Santo Crucifixo won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 27, 2019 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Academico 83 and 1.60 for Santo Crucifixo. This points to a Santo Crucifixo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Academico 83

25%

Draws

42%

Santo Crucifixo

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Santo Crucifixo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Academico 83 picked up more points recently compared to Santo Crucifixo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.60 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Academico 83 Clean Sheet 14%

Santo Crucifixo Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Academico 83	Santo Crucifixo
Matches Played	31	18
Wins	6	5
Draws	8	5
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	1.1	0.89
Goals Conceded	1.94	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.20	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Campeonato Nacional

Academico 83 vs Santo Crucifixo

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato Nacional

Santo Crucifixo vs Academico 83

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico 83 33 / 100

Santo Crucifixo 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Academico 83 Santo Crucifixo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santo Crucifixo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academico 83 attacking → ← attacking Santo Crucifixo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico 83 scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Santo Crucifixo let in goals in 61% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Academico 83 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santo Crucifixo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 20

1.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Academica Praia	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
3	Academica Porto Novo	6	1	4	1	7:9	7
4	Academica do Fogo	6	0	4	2	3:5	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ultramarina	6	3	2	1	13:9	11
2	Santo Crucifixo	6	2	2	2	7:5	8
3	Sporting da Brava	6	2	2	2	9:12	8
4	Academico 83	6	1	2	3	8:11	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oasis	6	3	2	1	7:8	11
2	Onze Estrelas	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Celtic	6	2	3	1	6:1	9
4	GD Varandinha	6	0	2	4	4:9	2