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Academico 83 vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Academico 83 and Ultramarina finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Academico 83
35%
Draws
32%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ultramarina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Academico 83 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Academico 83 Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico 83 Ultramarina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academico 83 vs Ultramarina
2:4
Apr 13, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Academico 83
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico 83 49 / 100
Ultramarina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico 83 Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico 83 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ultramarina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Academico 83 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ultramarina
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico 83

(Home)
12 May
Academico 83
2 : 4
Ultramarina
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Academico 83
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
20 Apr
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Academico 83
13 Apr
Ultramarina
3 : 1
Academico 83
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Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Academica do Fogo 6 0 4 2 3:5 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
2 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Sporting da Brava 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
4 Academico 83 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oasis 6 3 2 1 7:8 11
2 Onze Estrelas 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Celtic 6 2 3 1 6:1 9
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams