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Acao vs Várzea Grande EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Acao Logo

Acao

2 - 1
FT
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Acao in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Acao
20%
Draws
34%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Acao have won more games recently than Várzea Grande EC.
  • Win probability leans Acao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Acao Clean Sheet 20%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Acao
0:3
May 13, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao 85 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Acao's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Acao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acao VS Várzea Grande EC
1.8 Goals Scored 0.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao

(Home)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
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Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)