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Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W

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Matogrossense Women
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense Women game between Acao W and Várzea Grande EC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Várzea Grande EC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Acao W
40%
Draws
29%
Várzea Grande EC W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Acao W come out ahead of Várzea Grande EC W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Matogrossense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Acao W Clean Sheet 16%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao W Várzea Grande EC W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:2
Sep 6, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao W 31 / 100
Várzea Grande EC W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao W Várzea Grande EC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Acao W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Acao W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Acao W VS Várzea Grande EC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mixto W32104:17
2Operario VG W31202:15
3Atletico MT W30210:12
4Cacerense W30120:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Várzea Grande EC W32106:07
2Acao W32014:26
3Uirapuru W31114:34
4Mato Grosso W30031:100