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Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W

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Matogrossense Women
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AI Match Summary

Acao W in this Matogrossense Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Acao W
40%
Draws
29%
Várzea Grande EC W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Acao W lately — more wins on the board than Várzea Grande EC W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Matogrossense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Acao W Clean Sheet 16%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao W Várzea Grande EC W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:2
Sep 6, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao W 31 / 100
Várzea Grande EC W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao W Várzea Grande EC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Acao W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Acao W scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Acao W VS Várzea Grande EC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mixto W2
Acao W4
Várzea Grande EC W4
Operario VG W2
Final
Acao W3
Várzea Grande EC W2