Sport Picks
Accrington vs Cheltenham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two The Wham Stadium, Accrington 
Match Events
42'
42'
McCann C.
48'
48'
Walton T.
55'
55'
Sub
Tomlinson J. In: Nurse G.
Out: Tomlinson J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Accrington and Cheltenham finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Accrington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Cheltenham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Accrington are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Accrington Clean Sheet 10%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Accrington | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Cheltenham
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Cheltenham
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Accrington
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Cheltenham
0:0
Oct 1, 2024 League Two
Cheltenham vs Accrington
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Warren C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Cheltenham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Accrington 56 / 100
Cheltenham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Accrington Cheltenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Accrington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Accrington scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Accrington VS Cheltenham
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Accrington
(Home) 06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 4
Cheltenham
(Away) 03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2 Cheltenham
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
