Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Accrington vs Peterborough

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 The Wham Stadium, Accrington
Accrington Logo

Accrington

2 - 1
FT
Peterborough Logo

Peterborough

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Henderson A.
21'
Pye L.
25' Event
Mooney K.
Assist: Henderson A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Accrington in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Accrington
20%
Draws
38%
Peterborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Accrington lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough.
  • Accrington are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Accrington have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Accrington, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Accrington Clean Sheet 20%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Accrington Peterborough
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Accrington vs Peterborough
2:1
Apr 18, 2023 League One
Accrington vs Peterborough
1:2
Oct 25, 2022 League One
Peterborough vs Accrington
3:1
Mar 27, 2021 League One
Peterborough vs Accrington
7:0
Sep 12, 2020 League One
Accrington vs Peterborough
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mooney K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 42 / 100
Peterborough 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Accrington Peterborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Peterborough conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Accrington scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Accrington remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Peterborough
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)
28 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bury FC
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Accrington
0 : 0
Blackburn
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
Page 1 of 7

Peterborough

(Away)
28 Jul
York City
1 : 2
Peterborough
25 Jul
Boston United
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Jul
Peterborough Sports
0 : 1
Peterborough
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3
Peterborough
17 Jul
Peterborough
0 : 0
Neom SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow0
Preston1
Wrexham4
Hull City3
Portsmouth1
Reading2
Gillingham1
AFC Wimbledon2
Burnley-
TBD-
West Brom1
Derby2
Cardiff2
Swindon1
Cheltenham2
Exeter0
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Everton-
TBD-
Chesterfield0
Mansfield2
Tranmere1
Burton2
Harrogate1
Lincoln City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham2
Sheffield Utd1
Blackpool0
Port Vale1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley3
Fleetwood Town2
Salford0
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd1
Colchester0
TBD-
Brighton-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford1
Norwich2
Northampton0
Southampton1
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newport0
Millwall1
Coventry1
Luton0
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City1
Walsall0
Blackburn1
Bradford City2
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Accrington2
Peterborough1
Middlesbrough0
Doncaster4
Wigan1
Notts County0
Stockport County3
Crewe1
Bromley2
Ipswich1
Leyton Orient0
Wycombe1
Fulham-
TBD-
Bristol City2
Milton Keynes Dons0
Bristol Rovers0
Cambridge Utd2
Charlton3
Stevenage1
Swansea3
Crawley Town1
Plymouth3
QPR2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland-
TBD-
Huddersfield3
Leicester2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Bolton3
Sheffield Wed4
TBD-
Leeds-
Grimsby3
Shrewsbury1
TBD-
Manchester United-
Bournemouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/32-finals
Preston2
Wrexham3
Reading2
AFC Wimbledon1
Burnley2
Derby1
Cardiff3
Cheltenham0
Wolves3
West Ham2
Everton2
Mansfield0
Burton0
Lincoln City1
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham0
Port Vale1
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley2
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd0
Brighton6
Liverpool-
TBD-
Norwich0
Southampton3
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
Millwall2
Coventry1
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
Stoke City0
Bradford City3
Tottenham-
TBD-
Accrington0
Doncaster2
Wigan1
Stockport County0
Bromley1
Wycombe2
Fulham2
Bristol City0
Cambridge Utd3
Charlton1
Swansea2
Plymouth1
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland1
Huddersfield2
TBD-
Manchester City-
Sheffield Wed2
Leeds1
Grimsby3
Manchester United2
Bournemouth0
Brentford2
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/16-finals
Wrexham2
Reading0
Burnley1
Cardiff2
Wolves2
Everton0
Lincoln City1
Chelsea2
Port Vale0
Arsenal2
Barnsley0
Brighton6
Liverpool2
Southampton1
Crystal Palace2
Millwall1
Newcastle Utd4
Bradford City1
Tottenham3
Doncaster0
Wigan0
Wycombe2
Fulham1
Cambridge Utd0
Swansea3
Nottingham2
Huddersfield0
Manchester City2
Sheffield Wed0
Grimsby1
Brentford2
Aston Villa1
1/8-finals
Wrexham1
Cardiff2
Wolves3
Chelsea4
Arsenal2
Brighton0
Liverpool0
Crystal Palace3
Newcastle Utd2
Tottenham0
Wycombe1
Fulham2
Swansea1
Manchester City3
Grimsby0
Brentford5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff1
Chelsea3
Arsenal2
Crystal Palace1
Newcastle Utd2
Fulham1
Manchester City2
Brentford0
Semi-finals
Chelsea2
Arsenal4
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City5
Final
Arsenal0
Manchester City2