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A.C.D. Nardo vs Costa Amalfi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lucas A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between A.C.D. Nardo and Costa Amalfi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
A.C.D. Nardo
30%
Draws
31%
Costa Amalfi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • A.C.D. Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • A.C.D. Nardo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Costa Amalfi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Costa Amalfi
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 49 / 100
Costa Amalfi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Costa Amalfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Amalfi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: A.C.D. Nardo scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: A.C.D. Nardo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
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Costa Amalfi

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)