Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A.C.D. Nardo vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo Logo

A.C.D. Nardo

0 - 0
FT
Heraclea Logo

Heraclea

Our Tip

Match Events

72'
Musy Hernandez M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between A.C.D. Nardo and Heraclea finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
A.C.D. Nardo
11%
Draws
9%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Heraclea on wins alone.
  • Model gives A.C.D. Nardo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Heraclea
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 86 / 100
Heraclea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C.D. Nardo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Heraclea conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: A.C.D. Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Heraclea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Heraclea
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
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Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)