Sport Picks
A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
39'
39'
Tursi E.
51'
51'
D'Arcangelo F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between A.C.D. Nardo and Martina Calcio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- A.C.D. Nardo haven't matched Martina Calcio's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Martina Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 17%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C.D. Nardo | Martina Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio
0:3
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C.D. Nardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Tursi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C.D. Nardo 10 / 100
Martina Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C.D. Nardo Martina Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C.D. Nardo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
A.C.D. Nardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Martina Calcio let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
A.C.D. Nardo VS Martina Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C.D. Nardo
(Home) 04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0 Barletta
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
Page 1 of 3
Martina Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
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27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0 Martina Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
