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A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Llanos A.
41'
52'

AI Match Summary

Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
A.C.D. Nardo
20%
Draws
56%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Martina Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Martina Calcio have won more games recently than A.C.D. Nardo.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Martina Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 17%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Martina Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio
0:3
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Llanos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antinucci A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 15 / 100
Martina Calcio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Martina Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C.D. Nardo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: A.C.D. Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Martina Calcio has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Martina Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 7

Martina Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)