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A.C.D. Nardo vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
45' Event
D'Anna S.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Tedesco E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between A.C.D. Nardo and Pompei finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
A.C.D. Nardo
20%
Draws
56%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • A.C.D. Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pompei a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 19%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Pompei
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Pompei
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tedesco E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 16 / 100
Pompei 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pompei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

A.C.D. Nardo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: A.C.D. Nardo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Pompei
1 Goals Scored 1.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 6

Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)