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A.C.D. Nardo vs Rotonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
D'Anna S.

AI Match Summary

A.C.D. Nardo in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
A.C.D. Nardo
30%
Draws
31%
Rotonda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Rotonda haven't matched A.C.D. Nardo's recent run of results.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • A.C.D. Nardo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 27%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Rotonda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Rotonda
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:3
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:5
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Rotonda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Rotonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 38 / 100
Rotonda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Rotonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotonda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: A.C.D. Nardo scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Rotonda conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

A.C.D. Nardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
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Rotonda

(Away)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)