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Acero vs Castellonense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Julia V.
75'
Solis M.
75'
Solis M.

AI Match Summary

Acero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Acero
30%
Draws
47%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellonense lately — more wins on the board than Acero.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Acero Clean Sheet 23%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acero Castellonense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Castellonense
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Acero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acero Compare

Top Goalscorer Julia V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Castellonense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acero 33 / 100
Castellonense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acero Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acero's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Acero has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Castellonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acero VS Castellonense
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acero

(Home)
03 Oct
Acero
1 : 1
Torrellano
26 Sept
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 1
Acero
19 Sept
Acero
2 : 0
SC Torrevieja
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
05 Sept
Acero
0 : 1
Crevillente
Page 1 of 6

Castellonense

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 34 26 5 3 77:20 83
2 Espanol de San Vicente 34 18 10 6 46:23 64
3 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 18 6 10 39:29 60
4 Atzeneta 34 16 12 6 44:27 60
5 Utiel 34 15 8 11 43:39 53
6 Levante B 34 13 11 10 44:35 50
7 Gandia 34 13 9 12 45:41 48
8 Villarreal C 34 12 10 12 53:44 46
9 Roda 34 12 8 14 35:32 44
10 Torrellano 34 11 9 14 34:40 42
11 Castellonense 34 10 11 13 38:45 41
12 Soneja 34 9 13 12 38:46 40
13 Patacona 34 11 7 16 40:52 40
14 Castellon B 34 12 4 18 44:52 40
15 Rayo Ibense 34 11 6 17 28:43 39
16 Acero 34 9 8 17 39:56 35
17 Burriana 34 8 9 17 26:46 33
18 Silla CF 34 7 4 23 27:70 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 (Play Offs)