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Acero vs Castellonense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Julia V.
75'
Solis M.
75'
Solis M.

AI Match Summary

Acero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Acero
30%
Draws
47%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellonense lately — more wins on the board than Acero.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Acero Clean Sheet 20%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acero Castellonense
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Castellonense
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Acero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acero Compare

Top Goalscorer Julia V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Castellonense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acero 32 / 100
Castellonense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acero Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acero's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Castellonense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Acero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acero VS Castellonense
0.8 Goals Scored 1.5
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acero

(Home)
26 Sept
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 1
Acero
19 Sept
Acero
2 : 0
SC Torrevieja
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
05 Sept
Acero
0 : 1
Crevillente
21 Aug
Vall de Uxo
1 : 1
Acero
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Castellonense

(Away)
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1
Castellonense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 34 26 5 3 77:20 83
2 Espanol de San Vicente 34 18 10 6 46:23 64
3 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 18 6 10 39:29 60
4 Atzeneta 34 16 12 6 44:27 60
5 Utiel 34 15 8 11 43:39 53
6 Levante B 34 13 11 10 44:35 50
7 Gandia 34 13 9 12 45:41 48
8 Villarreal C 34 12 10 12 53:44 46
9 Roda 34 12 8 14 35:32 44
10 Torrellano 34 11 9 14 34:40 42
11 Castellonense 34 10 11 13 38:45 41
12 Soneja 34 9 13 12 38:46 40
13 Patacona 34 11 7 16 40:52 40
14 Castellon B 34 12 4 18 44:52 40
15 Rayo Ibense 34 11 6 17 28:43 39
16 Acero 34 9 8 17 39:56 35
17 Burriana 34 8 9 17 26:46 33
18 Silla CF 34 7 4 23 27:70 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 (Play Offs)