Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acero vs Novelda CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Acero in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Acero
35%
Draws
26%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Novelda CF haven't matched Acero's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Acero's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Acero Clean Sheet 68%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acero Novelda CF
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
1:1
Apr 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
3:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
2:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acero 86 / 100
Novelda CF 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acero Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Acero's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Acero went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acero VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acero

(Home)
03 Oct
Acero
1 : 1
Torrellano
26 Sept
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 1
Acero
19 Sept
Acero
2 : 0
SC Torrevieja
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
05 Sept
Acero
0 : 1
Crevillente
Page 1 of 7

Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6