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Acero vs Novelda CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Acero in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Acero
17%
Draws
13%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Acero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Novelda CF haven't matched Acero's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Acero's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Acero Clean Sheet 68%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acero Novelda CF
Matches Played 39 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
1:1
Apr 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
3:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Acero
2:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Novelda CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acero 77 / 100
Novelda CF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acero Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Acero's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Acero went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acero VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acero

(Home)
21 Aug
Vall de Uxo
1 : 1
Acero
12 May
Acero
2 : 3
Silla CF
05 May
Ontinyent 1931 CF
2 : 2
Acero
01 May
Acero
2 : 0
Ilicitano
27 Apr
Utiel
2 : 2
Acero
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Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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