Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Ancora F.
86'
86'
Elefante S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Acerrana and ASD Ugento finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASD Ugento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ASD Ugento come out ahead of Acerrana on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on ASD Ugento taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 18%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Acerrana | ASD Ugento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 26 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.08 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs ASD Ugento
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Acerrana
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Acerrana Compare
Top Goalscorer Elefante S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36
ASD Ugento Compare
Top Goalscorer Ancora F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Acerrana 10 / 100
ASD Ugento 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Acerrana ASD Ugento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASD Ugento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ASD Ugento has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Acerrana found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (36 games).
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
ASD Ugento lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Acerrana VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Acerrana
(Home) 03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0 Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
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03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
15 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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ASD Ugento
(Away) 11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1 Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2 ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0 Martina Calcio
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04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2 ASD Ugento
06 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 0 ASD Ugento
23 Mar
Palmese 1914
2 : 0 ASD Ugento
02 Mar
Acerrana
1 : 1 ASD Ugento
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casarano | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 72:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:29 | 57 |
| 5 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:47 | 49 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:34 | 47 |
| 8 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Ischia | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 10 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:45 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | 42 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 28:34 | 41 |
| 13 | Acerrana | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 14 | ASD Ugento | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:51 | 37 |
| 15 | Manfredonia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:51 | 35 |
| 16 | Brindisi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 44:43 | 27 |
| 17 | Angri | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Costa Amalfi | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:62 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)
