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Acerrana vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Di Cuonzo M.
55' Event
Malcore G.
57' Event
Malcore G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Acerrana and Barletta finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Acerrana
6%
Draws
90%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Acerrana haven't matched Barletta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Barletta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
Barletta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana Barletta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Acerrana
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Barletta
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcore G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Di Cuonzo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 10 / 100
Barletta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Acerrana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Barletta conceded in 36% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: Barletta has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS Barletta
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

Barletta

(Away)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)