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Acerrana vs SS Nola 1925

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Longo M.
30' Event
Estrella Galeazzi F.
37' Event
Gallo M.

AI Match Summary

Acerrana in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acerrana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
20%
Draws
80%
SS Nola 1925
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SS Nola 1925

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • SS Nola 1925 have won more games recently than Acerrana.
  • Model gives SS Nola 1925 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 14%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana SS Nola 1925
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs SS Nola 1925
4:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Acerrana
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrella Galeazzi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 19 / 100
SS Nola 1925 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana SS Nola 1925

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SS Nola 1925 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Nola 1925 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Acerrana scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

SS Nola 1925's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS SS Nola 1925
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

SS Nola 1925

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)