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Achilles Veen vs Excelsior Maassluis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior Maassluis in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior Maassluis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Achilles Veen
15%
Draws
85%
Excelsior Maassluis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior Maassluis lately — more wins on the board than Achilles Veen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Achilles Veen Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achilles Veen Excelsior Maassluis
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Achilles Veen vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achilles Veen 30 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achilles Veen Excelsior Maassluis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Achilles Veen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior Maassluis conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Achilles Veen VS Excelsior Maassluis
1.25 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Achilles Veen

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Achilles Veen
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1
TOGB
22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0
Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior Maassluis

(Away)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)