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Achnas vs Ol. Nicosia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Ethnikos Achnas, Achna
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Giousis C.
35' Event
Andereggen N.
39' Event
Jean Felipe

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between Achnas and Ol. Nicosia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Achnas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Achnas
35%
Draws
23%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Achnas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Achnas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Achnas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Achnas Clean Sheet 68%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achnas Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 11
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Ol. Nicosia
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Achnas
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Ol. Nicosia
0:1
May 16, 2022 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Achnas
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Giousis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andereggen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ol. Nicosia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achnas 95 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achnas Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achnas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Achnas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ol. Nicosia conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Achnas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Achnas VS Ol. Nicosia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Achnas

(Home)
19 Sept
Achnas
3 : 0
Polemidion
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2
Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Anorthosis 33 11 12 10 35:40 45
8 AEL Limassol 33 13 5 15 41:46 44
9 Omonia Aradippou 33 12 6 15 31:42 42
10 Krasava 33 11 7 15 36:44 40
11 Ol. Nicosia 33 10 10 13 32:44 40
12 Akritas Chloraka 33 10 5 18 31:58 35
13 Achnas 33 10 3 20 34:53 33
14 Paralimni 33 1 2 30 11:80 5
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)