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Achnas vs Omonia Aradippou

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Ethnikos Achnas, Achna
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Thelander R.
46'
Sub
Machado L. In: Gonzalez P.
Out: Machado L.
54' Event
Lomonaco S.

AI Match Summary

Omonia Aradippou in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia Aradippou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Achnas
35%
Draws
28%
Omonia Aradippou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Achnas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Achnas haven't matched Omonia Aradippou's recent run of results.
  • Achnas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Omonia Aradippou here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Achnas Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Achnas Omonia Aradippou
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 1 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Omonia Aradippou
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs Omonia Aradippou
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs Achnas
3:2
Apr 28, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs Achnas
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs Achnas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Achnas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Omonia Aradippou Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomonaco S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Achnas 68 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Achnas Omonia Aradippou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achnas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Achnas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Omonia Aradippou conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Achnas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Achnas VS Omonia Aradippou
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Achnas

(Home)
19 Sept
Achnas
3 : 0
Polemidion
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2
Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
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Omonia Aradippou

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
05 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Krasava
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
22 Aug
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 0
Krasava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 26 19 4 3 63:17 61
2 AEK Larnaca 26 16 5 5 49:22 53
3 Apollon Limassol 26 16 5 5 36:22 53
4 Pafos 26 16 3 7 53:24 51
5 APOEL 26 13 6 7 45:27 45
6 Aris Limassol 26 12 7 7 48:26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou 26 10 4 12 23:31 34
8 AEL Limassol 26 10 3 13 31:38 33
9 Anorthosis 26 7 11 8 23:33 32
10 Krasava 26 8 4 14 26:36 28
11 Ol. Nicosia 26 6 10 10 22:37 28
12 Akritas Chloraka 26 7 5 14 23:48 26
13 Achnas 26 7 2 17 25:44 23
14 Paralimni 26 0 1 25 5:67 1
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)