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Acqui US vs Pinerolo

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Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between Acqui US and Pinerolo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinerolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Acqui US
35%
Draws
32%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Pinerolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Acqui US Clean Sheet 25%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acqui US Pinerolo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs Pinerolo
0:4
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Acqui US
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acqui US 37 / 100
Pinerolo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acqui US Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinerolo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Pinerolo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Acqui US found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Acqui US has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinerolo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acqui US

(Home)
08 May
Acqui US
0 : 4
Pinerolo
01 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Acqui US
24 Apr
Acqui US
1 : 0
Castellazzo
17 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Acqui US
10 Apr
Acqui US
0 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
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Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)