Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio San Filippo

ACR Messina

1 - 0

Lamezia

Our Tip

Match Events

Roseti C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between ACR Messina and Lamezia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACR Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

ACR Messina

20%

Draws

38%

Lamezia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ACR Messina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

ACR Messina have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Lamezia are scoring more at 0.88.
Win probability leans ACR Messina's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

ACR Messina Clean Sheet 20%

Lamezia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ACR Messina	Lamezia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	9
Draws	12	9
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I

Lamezia vs ACR Messina

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I

ACR Messina vs Lamezia

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Mar 8, 2015 Serie C - Group C

Lamezia vs ACR Messina

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Oct 18, 2014 Serie C - Group C

ACR Messina vs Lamezia

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 6, 2014 Lega Pro C2/B

Lamezia vs ACR Messina

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ACR Messina Compare

Top Goalscorer Roseti C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Lamezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACR Messina 42 / 100

Lamezia 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ACR Messina Lamezia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: ACR Messina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: ACR Messina scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Lamezia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

ACR Messina VS Lamezia

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A.C. Savoia	34	20	9	5	63:29	69
2	Nissa	34	19	10	5	51:27	67
3	Reggina	34	20	6	8	44:23	66
4	Athletic Palermo	34	18	6	10	59:47	60
5	Gelbison	34	17	9	8	44:32	60
6	Sambiase	34	14	11	9	38:30	53
7	Igea Virtus	34	15	13	6	49:36	53
8	Milazzo	34	12	8	14	31:36	44
9	Gela	34	13	5	16	41:44	43
10	Lamezia	34	11	9	14	43:35	42
11	Castrumfavara	34	10	8	16	38:47	38
12	Enna	34	8	12	14	50:53	36
13	Vibonese	34	8	11	15	32:47	35
14	USD Ragusa	34	7	13	14	23:34	34
15	ACR Messina	34	11	13	10	28:33	32
16	AS Acireale	34	7	12	15	37:50	32
17	Sancataldese	34	7	8	19	31:49	29
18	Paterno	34	4	7	23	22:72	19