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ACR Messina vs Monterosi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Fumagalli E.
26'
Vano M.
31'
Mbende E.

AI Match Summary

ACR Messina in this Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ACR Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
ACR Messina
30%
Draws
34%
Monterosi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ACR Messina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • ACR Messina have won more games recently than Monterosi.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ACR Messina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 19%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACR Messina Monterosi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group C
ACR Messina vs Monterosi
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs ACR Messina
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs ACR Messina
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie C - Group C
ACR Messina vs Monterosi
3:2
Feb 15, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs ACR Messina
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ACR Messina Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosafio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plescia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Eusepi U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACR Messina 36 / 100
Monterosi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACR Messina Monterosi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

ACR Messina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ACR Messina scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Monterosi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ACR Messina VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juve Stabia382213357:2479
2Avellino38209962:2969
3Benevento381812845:3366
4Casertana381714751:3865
5Taranto38209946:3165
6Picerno3815131053:4058
7Audace Cerignola381217954:4653
8Giugliano381581544:4753
9Crotone3813131254:4752
10Latina381491544:5151
11Foggia381391640:4448
12Sorrento381391639:4748
13Catania381291739:3845
14ACR Messina3811121541:4945
15Turris3811111646:5744
16Potenza3810131538:4743
17Monopoli3810121641:5142
18Virtus Francavilla388111930:5035
19Monterosi388111943:6235
20Brindisi38782328:6425