Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ACR Messina vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio San Filippo, Messina
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Colombatti G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between ACR Messina and Sambiase finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sambiase.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ACR Messina
40%
Draws
29%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 68%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACR Messina Sambiase
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Sambiase
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs ACR Messina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ACR Messina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombatti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACR Messina 42 / 100
Sambiase 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACR Messina Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACR Messina has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: ACR Messina scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Sambiase has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ACR Messina VS Sambiase
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ACR Messina

(Home)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1
ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
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Sambiase

(Away)
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
12 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Sambiase
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1
Paterno
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A.C. Savoia34209563:2969
2Nissa341910551:2767
3Reggina34206844:2366
4Athletic Palermo341861059:4760
5Gelbison34179844:3260
6Sambiase341411938:3053
7Igea Virtus341513649:3653
8Milazzo341281431:3644
9Gela341351641:4443
10Lamezia341191443:3542
11Castrumfavara341081638:4738
12Enna348121450:5336
13Vibonese348111532:4735
14USD Ragusa347131423:3434
15ACR Messina3411131028:3332
16AS Acireale347121537:5032
17Sancataldese34781931:4929
18Paterno34472322:7219
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)